The well-established forecasting methods of exponential smoothing rely on the “optimal” estimation of parameters if they are to perform well. A grid search procedure to minimise the MSE is often used ...

Efficient supply chain management relies on accurate demand forecasting. Typically, forecasts are required at frequent intervals for many items. Forecasting methods suitable for this application are ...

The ARIMA model equivalency to the additive version of Winters method is the ARIMA(0,1,p+1)(0,1,0) p model The moving-average form of the equation is For the additive version of Winters method (see ...